Dillon Brooks
POR @ PHX · Today 9:00 PMWhat's different today
Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 18.5 without him: 13 of 16; with him: 31 of 49 (65 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 29.8 min · 2025–26: 30.9 (60 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at GS
Game lines
PHX +2.5 · total 227.5 (6 sportsbooks)
PHX's games this season closed at 226.9 on average (5 games)
Game log against Over 18.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 18.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 10.1–32 pts+ast.
Splits
Over 18.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 18.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs POR
Pts+Ast: 10 in 27 min, Oct 21 (away)
Over 18.5 hit in 2 of 10 games against POR on record
L10 · Over 18.5
- Average
- 22.4
- +3.9 vs line
- Median
- 23
- +4.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −131
Research, not a pick. At −107 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −11201 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −2661 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1142 books | −1222 books | 8/10 | |
| +1131 book | — | 8/10 | |
| +3091 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +8101 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +18801 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 18.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 18.5 | Under 18.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings7 min ago | −107Best | −122 |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:16 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
18.5Over −118 → −114 since first seen


