Dillon Brooks
POR @ PHX · LiveGame log against Under 2.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 2.5 Assists hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–5 assists.
What's different yesterday
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Under 2.5 without him: 11 of 16; with him: 34 of 49 (65 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Under 2.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 42 of 60 (65 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
POR allow 9.0 assists a game to forwards: 9th most of 30
6 games
Minutes
Last 5: 29.8 min · 2025–26: 30.9 (60 games)
Splits
Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Miles BridgesF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs POR
Assists: 0 in 27 min, Oct 21 (away)
Under 2.5 hit in 7 of 10 games against POR on record
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −181
- Books’ fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Research, not a pick. At −180 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −19002 books | — | 1/10 | |
| −2302 books | +1651 book | 4/10 | |
| +1353 books | −1812 books | 6/10 | |
| +3002 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +6754 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +18201 book | — | 10/10 | |
| +25001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada7 hr ago | +135 | −180Best |
| DraftKings7 hr ago | +137Best | −181 |
| Bally Bet7 hr ago | +125 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.51.5 → 2.5 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.


