Deni Avdija
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 0.5 Blocks hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–1 blocks.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 0.5
- Average
- 0.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- at −181
- Books’ fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −143
Research, not a pick. At −177 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −143, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1334 books | −1812 books | 6/10 | |
| +6701 book | — | 10/10 | |
| +21001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings20 hr ago | +133Best | −177Best |
| betPARX20 hr ago | +133Best | −186 |
| Bally Bet20 hr ago | +133Best | — |
| BetRivers20 hr ago | +133Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.