Deni Avdija
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 6.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 6.5 Assists hit in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3–9 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 6.5
- Average
- 5.1
- −1.4 vs line
- Median
- 4.5
- −2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −143
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −146
Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −146, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3756 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1806 books | +1401 book | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +1057 books | −1436 books | 7/10 | |
| +1826 books | −2501 book | 8/10 | |
| +3105 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +5006 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 6.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 6.5 | Under 6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada14 hr ago | +105 | −135Best |
| betPARX14 hr ago | +105 | −139 |
| BetRivers14 hr ago | +104 | −141 |
| DraftKings14 hr ago | +110 | −145 |
| Pinnacle14 hr ago | +120 | −160 |
| FanDuel14 hr ago | +126Best | −162 |
| Bally Bet14 hr ago | +105 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
6.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.