Dejounte Murray

New Orleans Pelicans · G · #5

UTAH @ NO · Live

Over Under5.5

Over 5.5 Assists, typical price −1254 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%2 of 4L20 · Without Murphy

Over 5.5 Assists cleared in 2 of 4 games without Trey Murphy III (his last 20 games).

vs DAL, 2025-01-29: 6, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2025-01-31: 0, missed, 8 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-02-24: 3, missed, 25 min
at UTAH, 2026-02-26: 9, cleared, 26 min
at LAC, 2026-03-01: 5, missed, 22 min (not counted)
at LAL, 2026-03-03: 8, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
at PHX, 2026-03-06: 5, missed, 30 min (not counted)
vs WSH, 2026-03-08: 2, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-03-11: 6, cleared, 31 min (not counted)
at HOU, 2026-03-13: 4, missed, 31 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-03-18: 11, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
vs CLE, 2026-03-21: 9, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-03-24: 12, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-03-26: 4, missed, 29 min
vs HOU, 2026-03-29: 6, cleared, 28 min
at POR, 2026-04-02: 5, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 7, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 6, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 6, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 5, missed, 30 min (not counted)

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 3–10 assists.

What's different yesterday

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

6 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Trey Murphy III playing; Murphy is out yesterday. Without him: Over 5.5 in 2 of 4.

YesterdayTeammate out
Trey Murphy III: Out (knee)
Over 5.5 without him: 2 of 4; with him: 8 of 14 (18 games as teammates)
YesterdayBack from an absence
Yesterday's game is his 1st back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 29 – Nov 2)
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 5.5 without him: 2 of 4; with him: 8 of 14 (18 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
UTAH allow 15.0 assists a game to guards: 19th most of 30
7 games

Splits

Over 5.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 5.5 · L20

Jeremiah FearsG
Trey Murphy IIIFOut
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Assists: 6 in 30 min, Oct 23 (away)

Over 5.5 hit in 6 of 6 games against UTAH on record

L20 · Without Murphy · Over 5.5

Average: 5.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 5; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 2 of 4
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −130, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Murphy

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−20003 books	—	4/4
−5902 books	—	3/4
−2404 books	+1651 book	2/4
−1254 books	−1173 books	2/4
+1684 books	−2301 book	1/4
+2352 books	—	1/4
+5203 books	—	1/4

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
Bovada14 hr ago	−110Best	−120
DraftKings14 hr ago	−112	−117
Pinnacle14 hr ago	−125	−106Best
Bally Bet14 hr ago	−134	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

Over: −154 → −125 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Dejounte Murray's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.