Dejounte Murray
UTAH @ NO · LiveGame log against Under 1.5
75%3 of 4L20 · Without Murphy
Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 3 of 4 games without Trey Murphy III (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.
What's different yesterday
Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickAll 3 of his last 3 came with Trey Murphy III playing; Murphy is out yesterday. Without him: Under 1.5 in 3 of 4.
YesterdayTeammate out
Trey Murphy III: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 3 of 4; with him: 9 of 14 (18 games as teammates)
YesterdayBack from an absence
Yesterday's game is his 1st back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 29 – Nov 2)
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 3 of 4; with him: 9 of 14 (18 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
UTAH allow 6.4 threes made a game to guards: 24th most of 30
7 games
Splits
Under 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 1.5 · L20Jeremiah FearsG
Trey Murphy IIIFOut
Zion WilliamsonF
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs UTAH
3-Pointers Made: 0 in 30 min, Oct 23 (away)
Under 1.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against UTAH on record
L20 · Without Murphy · Under 1.5
- Average
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 75%
- 3 of 4
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −135
- Books’ fair
- 54%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −159
Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −159, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Murphy| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4191 book | — | 1/4 | |
| +1044 books | −1353 books | 3/4 | |
| +3182 books | — | 4/4 | |
| +8302 books | — | 4/4 | |
| +19001 book | — | 4/4 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada8 hr ago | +105 | −135Best |
| Pinnacle8 hr ago | +102 | −135Best |
| DraftKings8 hr ago | +104 | −137 |
| Bally Bet8 hr ago | +123Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Under: −182 → −135 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.


