Dejounte Murray

New Orleans Pelicans · G · #5

UTAH @ NO · Tomorrow 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1812 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

All 3 of his last 3 came before Murray missed 3 games. Since he came back: Under 1.5 in no games.

TonightBack from an absence
Tonight is his 1st game back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 29 – Nov 2)
Teammate out
Jordan Poole: Out (ankle)
Under 1.5 without him: 7 of 11; with him: 5 of 7 (18 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 3 of 4; with him: 9 of 14 (18 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
UTAH allow 6.4 threes made a game to guards: 24th most of 30
7 games

80%8 of 10L10

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs LAC, 2026-03-18: 3, missed, 30 min
vs CLE, 2026-03-21: 1, hit, 30 min
at NY, 2026-03-24: 1, hit, 28 min
at DET, 2026-03-26: 0, hit, 29 min
vs HOU, 2026-03-29: 1, hit, 28 min
at POR, 2026-04-02: 0, hit, 28 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 34 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 30 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 1, hit, 35 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 30 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Zion WilliamsonF
Jordan PooleGOut
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

3-Pointers Made: 0 in 30 min, Oct 23 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 0.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −181
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 64%; estimate · fair −175

Research, not a pick. At −177 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −175, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3382 books	—	4/10
+1362 books	−1812 books	8/10
+4262 books	—	9/10
+11482 books	—	10/10
+24001 book	—	10/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings4 min ago	+134	−177Best
FanDuel3 min ago	+138Best	−186
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under −182 → −181 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Dejounte Murray's full game log and splits