De'Aaron Fox

San Antonio Spurs · G · #4

DAL @ SA · Tomorrow 9:30 PM

Over Under9.5

Over 9.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1371 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Minutes
Last 5: 30 min · 2025–26: 31.6 (94 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs UTAH
Game lines
SA −11.5 · total 226.5 (9 sportsbooks)
SA's games this season closed at 229.4 on average (7 games)
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
DAL 20th, SA 9th of 30

70%7 of 10L10

Over 9.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

at NY, 2026-06-08: 11, cleared, 37 min
at NY, 2026-06-10: 12, cleared, 37 min
vs NY, 2026-06-13: 5, missed, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-20: 14, cleared, 32 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-23: 13, cleared, 34 min
at DAL, 2026-10-24: 12, cleared, 28 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-27: 10, cleared, 26 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-28: 7, missed, 39 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-31: 15, cleared, 35 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-02: 5, missed, 22 min

ClearedMissedThe 9.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 6.1–14.1 reb+ast.

Splits

Over 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 9.5 · L10

Victor WembanyamaF
Stephon CastleG
Dylan HarperG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Spurs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

Reb+Ast: 12 in 28 min, Oct 24 (away)

Over 9.5 hit in 7 of 10 games against DAL on record

L10 · Over 9.5

Average: 10.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 11.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 58%; at −137
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −137 the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−40001 book	—	10/10
−3801 book	—	7/10
−1371 book	+1041 book	7/10
+1041 book	−1381 book	6/10
+1701 book	—	5/10
+5501 book	—	1/10
+16001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 9.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 9.5	Under 9.5
DraftKings6 min ago	−137Best	+104Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:53 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

−152 → −137 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

De'Aaron Fox's full game log and splits