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De'Aaron Fox

San Antonio Spurs · G · #4

DAL @ SA · Today 9:30 PM
OverUnder1.5
Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1587 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs guards

    DAL allow 7.4 threes made a game to guards: 15th most of 30

    7 games

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 30 min · 2025–26: 31.6 (94 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 vs UTAH

  • Game lines

    SA −11.5 · total 228.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    SA's games this season closed at 229.4 on average (7 games)

Game log against Under 1.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

  1. at NY, 2026-06-08: 0, hit, 37 min
  2. at NY, 2026-06-10: 4, missed, 37 min
  3. vs NY, 2026-06-13: 1, hit, 37 min
  4. vs OKC, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 32 min
  5. vs HOU, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 34 min
  6. at DAL, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 28 min
  7. vs SAC, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 26 min
  8. at UTAH, 2026-10-28: 1, hit, 39 min
  9. vs MIN, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 35 min
  10. vs UTAH, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 22 min
Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10
  • Victor WembanyamaF

  • Stephon CastleG

  • Dylan HarperG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Spurs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

3-Pointers Made: 2 in 28 min, Oct 24 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 10 games against DAL on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average
1.3
−0.2 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
61%
at −158
Books’ fair
57%
margin removed
Our chance
61%
estimate · fair −154

Research, not a pick. At −150 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −154, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−3936 books—3/10
+1207 books−1586 books6/10
+3506 books—9/10
+9803 books—9/10
+21002 books—10/10
+35001 book—10/10
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
Bovada11 min ago+115−150Best
DraftKings5 min ago+115−151
FanDuel3 min ago+118−158
Pinnacle5 min ago+120−158
betPARX4 min ago+123Best−162
BetRivers4 min ago+120−165
Bally Bet5 min ago+120—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
De'Aaron Fox's full game log and splits