De'Aaron Fox

San Antonio Spurs · G · #4

SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1747 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).

at NY, 2026-06-10: 4, missed, 37 min
vs NY, 2026-06-13: 1, hit, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-20: 0, hit, 32 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 34 min
at DAL, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 28 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 26 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-28: 1, hit, 39 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 35 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 22 min
vs DAL, 2026-11-04: 0, hit, 33 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayGame lines
SA −16.5 · total 230.5 (9 sportsbooks): a big spread
SA's games this season closed at 229 on average (8 games)
Defense vs guards
SAC allow 6.8 threes made a game to guards: 23rd most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 31 min · 2026–27: 31.1 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs DAL

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Victor WembanyamaF
Stephon CastleG
Dylan HarperG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Spurs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SAC

3-Pointers Made: 2 in 26 min, Oct 27 (home)

Under 1.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against SAC on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −174
Books’ fair: 59%; margin removed
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −172

Research, not a pick. At −168 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −172, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3903 books	—	3/10
+1307 books	−1746 books	6/10
+3806 books	—	9/10
+9506 books	—	9/10
+24002 books	—	10/10
+40001 book	—	10/10

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings4 min ago	+127	−168Best
Bovada3 min ago	+130	−170
Pinnacle4 min ago	+128	−172
FanDuel1 min ago	+130	−174
betPARX1 min ago	+133Best	−182
BetRivers3 min ago	+133Best	−182
Bally Bet4 min ago	+133Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:47 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

3.5 → 1.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

De'Aaron Fox's full game log and splits