Davion Mitchell

Miami Heat · G · #2

MIA @ LAC · Tomorrow 10:30 PM

Over Under12.5

Over 12.5 Points, typical price −1041 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs guards
LAC allow 69.3 points a game to guards: 3rd most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2025–26: 28.6 (70 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at LAL
Game lines
MIA −4.5 · total 234.5 (7 sportsbooks)
MIA's games this season closed at 237.4 on average (7 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 12.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-07: 9, missed, 23 min
at TOR, 2026-04-09: 15, cleared, 37 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-12: 12, missed, 26 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 11, missed, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 18, cleared, 33 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 22, cleared, 37 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 21, cleared, 33 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 10, missed, 34 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 15, cleared, 35 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 15, cleared, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 12.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 12.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 12.5 cleared in 2 of 6 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 12.5 · L10

Giannis AntetokounmpoFDay-To-Day
Bam AdebayoC
Pelle LarssonG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAC

Points: 16 in 31 min, Dec 1, 2025 (home)

Over 12.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 12.5

Average: 14.8; +2.3 vs line
Median: 15; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −104
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 32; 10 games · 28.6 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 12.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−40001 book	—	10/10
−2651 book	—	9/10
−1041 book	−1281 book	6/10
+1681 book	—	6/10
+6001 book	—	2/10
+17001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 12.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 12.5	Under 12.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−104Best	−128Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

Over No move since first seen

Davion Mitchell's full game log and splits