Davion Mitchell
MIA @ LAC · Today 10:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs guards
LAC allow 17.0 assists a game to guards: 4th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2025–26: 28.6 (70 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at LAL
Game lines
MIA −4.5 · total 234.5 (6 sportsbooks)
MIA's games this season closed at 237.4 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 7.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 7.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against LAC in his last 10; Over 7.5 cleared in 2 of 6 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 7.5 · L10Giannis AntetokounmpoFDay-To-Day
Bam AdebayoC
Pelle LarssonG
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs LAC
Assists: 12 in 31 min, Dec 1, 2025 (home)
Over 7.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against LAC on record
L10 · Over 7.5
- Average
- 7.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 8.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 46%
- at +118
- Books’ fair
- 43%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 32
- 10 games · 28.6 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 43%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5331 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −3102 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1421 book | +1081 book | 6/10 | |
| +1183 books | −1582 books | 5/10 | |
| +2131 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +3202 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +6001 book | — | 3/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 7.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 7.5 | Under 7.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings3 min ago | +124Best | — |
| FanDuel1 min ago | +118 | −158Best |
| Pinnacle3 min ago | +118 | −158Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:34 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
7.5+116 → +118 since first seen


