Davion Mitchell

Miami Heat · G · #2

MIA @ LAC · Tomorrow 10:30 PM

Over Under7.5

Over 7.5 Assists, typical price +1181 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
LAC allow 17.0 assists a game to guards: 4th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.6 min · 2025–26: 28.6 (70 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at LAL
Game lines
MIA −4.5 · total 234.5 (6 sportsbooks)
MIA's games this season closed at 237.4 on average (7 games)

50%5 of 10L10

Over 7.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-07: 6, missed, 23 min
at TOR, 2026-04-09: 11, cleared, 37 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-12: 1, missed, 26 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 11, cleared, 33 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 5, missed, 33 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 10, cleared, 37 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 33 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 10, cleared, 34 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 11, cleared, 35 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 29 min

ClearedMissedThe 7.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 7.5 cleared in 2 of 6 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 7.5 · L10

Giannis AntetokounmpoFDay-To-Day
Bam AdebayoC
Pelle LarssonG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAC

Assists: 12 in 31 min, Dec 1, 2025 (home)

Over 7.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 7.5

Average: 7.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 8.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 46%; at +118
Books’ fair: 43%; margin removed
Minutes: 32; 10 games · 28.6 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 43%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−20001 book	—	8/10
−2951 book	—	7/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	6/10
+1181 book	−1581 book	5/10
+3101 book	—	5/10
+9001 book	—	0/10
+20001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
FanDuel6 min ago	+118Best	−158Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

+116 → +118 since first seen

Davion Mitchell's full game log and splits