Darius Acuff Jr.
SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 26.5
50%4 of 8L8 · Without Raynaud
Over 26.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 4 of 8 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 8 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 16–40.3 pts+reb.
What's different today
Over 26.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Over 26.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
TodayGame lines
SAC +15.5 · total 229.5 (7 sportsbooks): a big spread
SAC's games this season closed at 231.9 on average (8 games)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Over 26.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: 1 of 2 (8 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 38 min · 2026–27: 37.3 (8 games)
Splits
Over 26.5 · L8 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 26.5 · L8Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Domantas SabonisF
Keegan MurrayFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs SA
Pts+Reb: 22 in 33 min, Oct 27 (away)
Over 26.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against SA on record
L8 · Without Raynaud · Over 26.5
- Average
- 29.4
- +2.9 vs line
- Median
- 27.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 4 of 8
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −114
Research, not a pick. At −125 the price is worse than our fair −114, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L8 · Without Raynaud| Line | Over | Under | L8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1251 book | −1061 book | 4/8 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 26.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 26.5 | Under 26.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel6 min ago | −125Best | −106Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
26.5No move since first seen


