Darius Acuff Jr.

Sacramento Kings · G · #5

SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under23.5

Over 23.5 Points, typical price −1061 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

50%4 of 8L8 · Without Raynaud

Over 23.5 Points cleared in 4 of 8 games without Maxime Raynaud (his last 8 games).

at LAC, 2026-10-21: 12, missed, 35 min
vs POR, 2026-10-23: 33, cleared, 37 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-25: 22, missed, 36 min
at SA, 2026-10-27: 19, missed, 33 min
at NO, 2026-10-29: 34, cleared, 41 min
at MEM, 2026-10-31: 38, cleared, 37 min
at DAL, 2026-11-02: 25, cleared, 37 min
vs LAL, 2026-11-04: 22, missed, 42 min

ClearedMissedThe 23.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 13.1–35.5 points.

What's different today

Over 23.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Maxime Raynaud: Out (knee)
Over 23.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: no games (8 games as teammates)
TodayGame lines
SAC +15.5 · total 229.5 (7 sportsbooks): a big spread
SAC's games this season closed at 231.9 on average (8 games)
Teammate out
Keegan Murray: Out (ankle)
Over 23.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: 1 of 2 (8 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
SA allow 53.6 points a game to guards: 20th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Over 23.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 23.5 · L8

Zach LaVineG
Maxime RaynaudCOut
Domantas SabonisF
Keegan MurrayFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Kings count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Points: 19 in 33 min, Oct 27 (away)

Over 23.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against SA on record

L8 · Without Raynaud · Over 23.5

Average: 25.6; +2.1 vs line
Median: 23.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 4 of 8
Price implies: 51%; at −106
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 50%; estimate · fair +100

Research, not a pick. At −106 the price is worse than our fair +100, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L8 · Without Raynaud

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L8
−100001 book	—	8/8
−10001 book	—	7/8
−2501 book	—	6/8
−1061 book	−1251 book	4/8
+1161 book	—	4/8
+2851 book	—	3/8
+7501 book	—	1/8

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 23.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 23.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 23.5	Under 23.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−106Best	−125Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:00 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

23.5

14.5 → 23.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Darius Acuff Jr.'s full game log and splits