Cooper Flagg
DAL @ SA · Today 9:30 PMGame log against Over 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 blocks.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Max Christie: Out (hip)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 3; with him: 44 of 73 (76 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 0.5 without him: 44 of 70; with him: 3 of 6 (76 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
SA allow 1.4 blocks a game to forwards: 22nd most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.8 min · 2025–26: 33.6 (70 games)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Kyrie IrvingG
Naji MarshallF
P.J. WashingtonF
Max ChristieGOut
Dereck Lively IICOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs SA
Flagg didn't play the Oct 24 meeting; blocks the last time Flagg faced them: 0 (Apr 10)
Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against SA on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −157
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −151
Research, not a pick. At −145 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −151, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1573 books | +1091 book | 6/10 | |
| +2953 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +8002 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +25001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings59 min ago | −145Best | +109Best |
| Bally Bet59 min ago | −157 | — |
| Bovada59 min ago | −192 | — |
Prices as of 9:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5−188 → −157 since first seen
What moved our number
This page last updated 9:43 PM ET.


