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Cooper Flagg

Dallas Mavericks · F · #32

DAL @ SA · Today 9:30 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Blocks, typical price −1576 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 on the road).

  1. at LAC, 2026-04-07: 1, cleared, 34 min
  2. at PHX, 2026-04-08: 1, cleared, 32 min
  3. at SA, 2026-04-10: 0, missed, 32 min
  4. vs CHI, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 10 min
  5. at HOU, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 33 min
  6. at IND, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 17 min
  7. at MIA, 2026-10-26: 2, cleared, 40 min
  8. vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 33 min
  9. vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 39 min
  10. vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 40 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 blocks.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TodayGame lines

    DAL +12.5 · total 226.5 (8 sportsbooks): a big spread

    DAL's games this season closed at 232.2 on average (7 games)

  • Teammate out

    Max Christie: Out (hip)

    Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 3; with him: 44 of 73 (76 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)

    Over 0.5 without him: 44 of 70; with him: 3 of 6 (76 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs forwards

    SA allow 1.4 blocks a game to forwards: 22nd most of 30

    7 games

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10
  • Kyrie IrvingG

  • Naji MarshallF

  • P.J. WashingtonF

  • Max ChristieGOut

  • Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Flagg didn't play the Oct 24 meeting; blocks the last time Flagg faced them: 0 (Apr 10)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against SA on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.7
+0.2 vs line
Median
1
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
61%
at −157
Books’ fair
56%
margin removed
Our chance
60%
estimate · fair −149

Research, not a pick. At −150 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −149, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1576 books+1132 books6/10
+2956 books—1/10
+8503 books—0/10
+24001 book—0/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
DraftKings4 min ago−150Best+113
Bally Bet4 min ago−157—
betPARX3 min ago−157+114Best
BetRivers4 min ago−157—
FanDuel3 min ago−188—
Bovada4 min ago−192—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−188 → −157 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Cooper Flagg's full game log and splits