Collin Gillespie
ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 2.5
70%7 of 10L10
Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayRest · back-to-back
Suns played the day before (vs POR): a back-to-back
Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Under 2.5 without him: 17 of 31; with him: 23 of 59 (90 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
ORL allow 7.4 threes made a game to guards: 14th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 26.2 min · 2025–26: 28.5 (84 games)
Splits
Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ORL in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 2 against ORL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L10Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs ORL
3-Pointers Made: 2 in 27 min, Mar 31 (away)
Under 2.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against ORL on record
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 65%
- at −188
- Books’ fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 67%
- estimate · fair −201
Research, not a pick. At −182 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −201, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −12003 books | — | 2/10 | |
| −2106 books | +1372 books | 5/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +1407 books | −1885 books | 7/10 | |
| +3106 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +6506 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +16803 books | — | 9/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX6 min ago | +135 | −182Best |
| BetRivers5 min ago | +135 | −186 |
| Pinnacle6 min ago | +140 | −188 |
| FanDuel5 min ago | +142 | −192 |
| Bovada11 min ago | +155Best | −210 |
| Bally Bet6 min ago | +135 | — |
| DraftKings6 min ago | +154 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5−192 → −188 since first seen