Cameron Johnson
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −157
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −155
Research, not a pick. At −155 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −155, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8503 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1577 books | +1206 books | 5/10 | |
| +1856 books | −2501 book | 1/10 | |
| +4456 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +9746 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +22003 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +35001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet22 hr ago | −155Best | — |
| betPARX22 hr ago | −155Best | +115 |
| FanDuel22 hr ago | −156 | +122 |
| BetRivers22 hr ago | −157 | +114 |
| Pinnacle22 hr ago | −157 | +118 |
| DraftKings22 hr ago | −163 | +123 |
| Bovada22 hr ago | −165 | +125Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.