Brook Lopez

LA Clippers · C · #11

MIA @ LAC · Today 10:30 PM

Over Under14.5

Over 14.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1472 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 14.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Over 14.5 without him: 6 of 15; with him: 22 of 58 (73 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Over 14.5 without him: 28 of 76; with him: 1 of 6 (82 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 21.4 min · 2025–26: 21.8 (75 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs TOR

80%8 of 10L10

Over 14.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs OKC, 2026-04-08: 22, cleared, 30 min
at POR, 2026-04-10: 27, cleared, 36 min
vs GS, 2026-04-12: 15, cleared, 23 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 28, cleared, 27 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 26, cleared, 20 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 16, cleared, 23 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 5, missed, 22 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 19, cleared, 21 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 9, missed, 19 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-02: 18, cleared, 22 min

ClearedMissedThe 14.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 7.7–27.1 pts+reb.

Splits

Over 14.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 14.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 14.5 · L10

Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Lopez didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; pts+reb the last time Lopez faced them: 6 (Nov 3, 2025)

Over 14.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 14.5

Average: 18.5; +4 vs line
Median: 18.5; +4 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −147
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −148

Research, not a pick. At −112 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −148, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6301 book	—	8/10
−1472 books	−1181 book	8/10
−1161 book	−1131 book	7/10
+2071 book	—	4/10
+5651 book	—	3/10
+14001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 14.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 14.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 14.5	Under 14.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−112Best	−118Best
DraftKings2 min ago	−147	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

14.5

15.5 → 14.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Brook Lopez's full game log and splits