Brayden Burries

Milwaukee Bucks · G · #0

MIL @ BOS · Live

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Rebounds, typical price −1072 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

57%4 of 7L7

Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 4 of his last 7 games (3 of 3 on the road).

at WSH, 2026-10-21: 5, cleared, 16 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 8 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 5, cleared, 17 min
vs IND, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 16 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-28: 5, cleared, 17 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-31: 3, missed, 21 min
at MIN, 2026-11-02: 9, cleared, 26 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–8 rebounds.

What's different yesterday

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
BOS allow 14.0 rebounds a game to guards: 24th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 19.4 min · 2026–27: 17.3 (7 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at MIN
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
BOS 19th, MIL 6th of 30

Splits

Over 4.5 · L7 · counts, not in order

No game against BOS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L7

Tyler HerroG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Ryan RollinsG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Bucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BOS

Burries didn't play the Apr 3 meeting

L7 · Over 4.5

Average: 4.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 5; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 4 of 7
Price implies: 52%; at −107
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 50%; estimate · fair +100

Research, not a pick. At +100 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair +100, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L7

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L7
−16672 books	—	6/7
−4802 books	—	5/7
−2062 books	—	4/7
−1072 books	−1231 book	4/7
+1672 books	—	1/7
+2952 books	—	1/7
+4992 books	—	1/7

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
Bally Bet7 hr ago	+100Best	—
DraftKings7 hr ago	−107	−123Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

−136 → −107 since first seen

Brayden Burries's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.