Brayden Burries

Milwaukee Bucks · G · #0

MIL @ BOS · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under16.5

Under 16.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1061 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Minutes
Last 5: 19.4 min · 2026–27: 17.3 (7 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at MIN
Game lines
MIL +11.5 · total 223.5 (8 sportsbooks)
MIL's games this season closed at 235.6 on average (7 games)
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
BOS 19th, MIL 6th of 30

57%4 of 7L7

Under 16.5 Pts+Reb hit in 4 of his last 7 games (1 of 3 on the road).

at WSH, 2026-10-21: 17, missed, 16 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-23: 4, hit, 8 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 15, hit, 17 min
vs IND, 2026-10-26: 6, hit, 16 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-28: 15, hit, 17 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-31: 17, missed, 21 min
at MIN, 2026-11-02: 18, missed, 26 min

Under hitMissedThe 16.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5.7–22.1 pts+reb.

Splits

Under 16.5 · L7 · counts, not in order

No game against BOS on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 16.5 · L7

Tyler HerroG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Ryan RollinsG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BOS

Burries didn't play the Apr 3 meeting

L7 · Under 16.5

Average: 13.1; −3.4 vs line
Median: 15; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 4 of 7
Price implies: 51%; at −106
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −121

Research, not a pick. At −106 the price beats our fair −121, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L7

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L7
−9301 book	—	2/7
−2041 book	—	2/7
−1251 book	−1061 book	4/7
−1041 book	−1261 book	6/7
+1481 book	—	7/7
+4211 book	—	7/7
+11601 book	—	7/7

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−125Best	−106Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

15.5 → 16.5 since first seen

Brayden Burries's full game log and splits