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Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · #2

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2052 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

65%13 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 13 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

  1. at BOS, 2026-03-18: 1, cleared, 28 min
  2. at DET, 2026-03-20: 1, cleared, 30 min
  3. at ATL, 2026-03-21: 0, missed, 24 min
  4. at DAL, 2026-03-23: 1, cleared, 40 min
  5. vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 0, missed, 35 min
  6. vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 2, cleared, 33 min
  7. at DEN, 2026-03-29: 2, cleared, 32 min
  8. vs SA, 2026-04-01: 0, missed, 17 min
  9. vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 2, cleared, 35 min
  10. vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 1, cleared, 37 min
  11. vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 1, cleared, 30 min
  12. vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 0, missed, 24 min
  13. at SAC, 2026-04-10: 1, cleared, 32 min
  14. at LAC, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 21 min
  15. vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 33 min
  16. at DEN, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 33 min
  17. at MIN, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 32 min
  18. vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 33 min
  19. vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 37 min
  20. vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 33 min
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TodayTeammate out

    Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)

    Over 0.5 without him: 34 of 50; with him: 32 of 43 (93 games as teammates)

  • TodayDefense vs guards

    MIA allow 3.1 steals a game to guards: 28th most of 30

    8 games

  • Teammate out

    Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)

    Over 0.5 without him: 12 of 20; with him: 12 of 15 (35 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Moses Moody: Out (knee)

    Over 0.5 without him: 19 of 28; with him: 47 of 65 (93 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

  • Stephen CurryG

  • Yaxel LendeborgF

  • Jimmy Butler IIIFOut

  • Kristaps PorzingisCOut

  • Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Steals: 1 in 30 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 0.5

Average
1
+0.5 vs line
Median
1
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
65%
13 of 20
Price implies
67%
at −205
Books’ fair
63%
margin removed
Minutes
31
20 games · 28.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 0.5 63%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−2052 books+1492 books13/20
+2242 books—5/20
+7202 books—1/20
+18601 book—0/20
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
DraftKings3 min ago−200Best+149
FanDuel2 min ago−205+152Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 11:30 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

Brandin Podziemski's full game log and splits