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Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · #2

MIA @ GS · Thu, Nov 5 10:00 PM
OverUnder2.5
—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

Game log against Over 2.5

35%7 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

  1. at BOS, 2026-03-18: 1, missed, 28 min
  2. at DET, 2026-03-20: 2, missed, 30 min
  3. at ATL, 2026-03-21: 0, missed, 24 min
  4. at DAL, 2026-03-23: 2, missed, 40 min
  5. vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 2, missed, 35 min
  6. vs WSH, 2026-03-27: 3, cleared, 33 min
  7. at DEN, 2026-03-29: 5, cleared, 32 min
  8. vs SA, 2026-04-01: 2, missed, 17 min
  9. vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 2, missed, 35 min
  10. vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 2, missed, 37 min
  11. vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 4, cleared, 30 min
  12. vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 1, missed, 24 min
  13. at SAC, 2026-04-10: 3, cleared, 32 min
  14. at LAC, 2026-04-12: 2, missed, 21 min
  15. vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 33 min
  16. at DEN, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 33 min
  17. at MIN, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 32 min
  18. vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 4, cleared, 33 min
  19. vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 37 min
  20. vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 3, cleared, 33 min
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • YesterdayTeammate out

    Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)

    Over 2.5 without him: 15 of 50; with him: 11 of 43 (93 games as teammates)

  • YesterdayDefense vs guards

    MIA allow 10.5 threes made a game to guards: 2nd most of 30

    8 games

  • Teammate out

    Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)

    Over 2.5 without him: 9 of 20; with him: 5 of 15 (35 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Moses Moody: Out (knee)

    Over 2.5 without him: 11 of 28; with him: 15 of 65 (93 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 2.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20
  • Stephen CurryG

  • Yaxel LendeborgF

  • Jimmy Butler IIIFOut

  • Kristaps PorzingisCOut

  • Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

3-Pointers Made: 3 in 30 min, Jan 19 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 2.5

Average
2.3
−0.2 vs line
Median
2
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
35%
7 of 20
Price implies
—
1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Minutes
31
20 games · 28.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
pick'em onlypick'em only7/20
Compare 1 pick'em app at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over isn't priced at 2.5 right now.

Brandin Podziemski's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:10 PM ET.