Bam Adebayo

Miami Heat · C · #13

MIA @ LAC · Live

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Rebounds, typical price −1396 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-09: 11, cleared, 37 min
at WSH, 2026-04-10: 11, cleared, 38 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-12: 10, cleared, 29 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 7, missed, 31 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 6, missed, 23 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 8, missed, 39 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 8, missed, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 9, cleared, 33 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 9, cleared, 33 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 9, cleared, 31 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 4.8–13.5 rebounds.

What's different yesterday

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs centers
LAC allow 9.1 rebounds a game to centers: 16th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.2 min · 2025–26: 32.4 (73 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at LAL
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
LAC 12th, MIA 3rd of 30

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L10

Giannis AntetokounmpoF
Pelle LarssonG
Davion MitchellG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAC

Rebounds: 14 in 32 min, Dec 1, 2025 (home)

Over 8.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 8.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 9; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 58%; at −139
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. At −133 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9802 books	—	10/10
−4644 books	—	9/10
−2503 books	+1851 book	8/10
−1396 books	+1002 books	6/10
+1125 books	−1452 books	3/10
+1754 books	−2401 book	2/10
+2552 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
Pinnacle18 hr ago	−133Best	+100
betPARX18 hr ago	−137	—
Bally Bet18 hr ago	−139	—
BetRivers18 hr ago	−139	—
Bovada18 hr ago	−145	+110Best
DraftKings18 hr ago	−152	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

Over: −132 → −139 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Bam Adebayo's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:43 PM ET.