Bam Adebayo

Miami Heat · C · #13

MIA @ LAC · Today 10:30 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −2103 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs centers
LAC allow 0.7 threes made a game to centers: 18th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.2 min · 2025–26: 32.4 (73 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at LAL
Game lines
MIA −4.5 · total 233.5 (5 sportsbooks)
MIA's games this season closed at 237.4 on average (7 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-09: 2, missed, 37 min
at WSH, 2026-04-10: 3, missed, 38 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-12: 1, hit, 29 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 1, hit, 31 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 23 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 39 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 33 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 0, hit, 33 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 31 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 2 of 4 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Giannis AntetokounmpoFDay-To-Day
Pelle LarssonG
Davion MitchellG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAC

3-Pointers Made: 5 in 32 min, Dec 1, 2025 (home)

Under 1.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against LAC on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1; −0.5 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 68%; at −210
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 66%; estimate · fair −195

Research, not a pick. At −202 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −195, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3301 book	—	4/10
+1543 books	−2103 books	7/10
+5001 book	—	9/10
+13001 book	—	10/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings6 min ago	+152	−202Best
FanDuel6 min ago	+154Best	−210
Pinnacle6 min ago	+154Best	−210
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:18 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Bam Adebayo's full game log and splits