Bam Adebayo

Miami Heat · C · #13

MIA @ LAC · Today 10:30 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Rebounds, typical price −1322 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs centers
LAC allow 9.1 rebounds a game to centers: 16th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.2 min · 2025–26: 32.4 (73 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at LAL
Game lines
MIA −4.5 · total 233.5 (5 sportsbooks)
MIA's games this season closed at 237.4 on average (7 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at TOR, 2026-04-09: 11, cleared, 37 min
at WSH, 2026-04-10: 11, cleared, 38 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-12: 10, cleared, 29 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-21: 7, missed, 31 min
vs DET, 2026-10-23: 6, missed, 23 min
at CHA, 2026-10-24: 8, missed, 39 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-26: 8, missed, 30 min
at ATL, 2026-10-28: 9, cleared, 33 min
vs IND, 2026-10-30: 9, cleared, 33 min
at LAL, 2026-11-02: 9, cleared, 31 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 4.8–13.5 rebounds.

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 3 of 4 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L10

Giannis AntetokounmpoFDay-To-Day
Pelle LarssonG
Davion MitchellG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Heat count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAC

Rebounds: 14 in 32 min, Dec 1, 2025 (home)

Over 8.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 8.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 9; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −132
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −132

Research, not a pick. At −132 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −132, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9001 book	—	10/10
−2251 book	—	8/10
−1322 books	+1002 books	6/10
+1121 book	—	3/10
+3001 book	—	0/10
+7501 book	—	0/10
+15001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−132Best	+100Best
Pinnacle5 min ago	−132Best	+100Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

Over No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Bam Adebayo's full game log and splits