Amen Thompson

Houston Rockets · G · #1

MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals, typical price +1402 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 1.5 without him: 30 of 60; with him: 12 of 34 (94 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MIN allow 4.0 steals a game to guards: 16th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.6 min · 2026–27: 32.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (0 of 5 at home).

at LAL, 2026-04-29: 4, cleared, 46 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-01: 0, missed, 45 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 33 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 2, cleared, 36 min
at ATL, 2026-10-24: 1, missed, 39 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 28 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 33 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 4, cleared, 39 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 28 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 25 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 3 of 8 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Jabari Smith Jr.F
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Steals: 2 in 42 min, Apr 10 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 42%; at +140
Books’ fair: 38%; margin removed
Minutes: 35.2; 10 games · 37.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 38%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3222 books	—	8/10
+1402 books	−2102 books	3/10
+4592 books	—	2/10
+12402 books	—	2/10
+25001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel3 min ago	+154Best	−210
DraftKings10 min ago	+140	−187Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:32 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +145 → +140 since first seen

Amen Thompson's full game log and splits