Amen Thompson
MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 3.5 without him: 46 of 60; with him: 25 of 34 (94 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
MIN allow 15.6 assists a game to guards: 16th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.6 min · 2026–27: 32.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS
Game log against Over 3.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).
Splits
Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 6 of 8 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 3.5 · L10Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Jabari Smith Jr.F
Steven AdamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Assists: 7 in 42 min, Apr 10 (home)
Over 3.5 hit in 6 of 8 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 3.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −137
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 35.2
- 10 games · 37.9 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 55%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −12504 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −3354 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1375 books | +1024 books | 5/10 | |
| +1604 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +3105 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +5311 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +10002 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet15 min ago | −136Best | — |
| betPARX5 min ago | −136Best | +102 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −137 | +100 |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −144 | +108 |
| DraftKings15 min ago | −153 | +116Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over: −148 → −137 since first seen


