Aday Mara

Oklahoma City Thunder · C · #15

CLE @ OKC · Live

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Blocks, typical price −1393 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

25%1 of 4L7 · Without Williams

Under 1.5 Blocks hit in 1 of 4 games without Jalen Williams (his last 7 games).

at SA, 2026-10-20: 1, hit, 12 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 1, hit, 13 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 1, hit, 14 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 20 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 21 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 4, missed, 28 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 20 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 blocks.

What's different yesterday

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Under 1.5 without him: 1 of 4; with him: 3 of 3 (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Under 1.5 without him: 1 of 4; with him: 3 of 3 (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Under 1.5 without him: 1 of 4; with him: 3 of 3 (7 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
CLE allow 1.1 blocks a game to centers: 16th most of 30
7 games

Splits

Under 1.5 · L7 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L7

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Ajay MitchellG
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Blocks: 1 in 20 min, Nov 2 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CLE on record

L7 · Without Williams · Under 1.5

Average: 2.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 25%; 1 of 4
Price implies: 58%; at −139
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. At −139 the price is worse than our fair −129, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L7 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L7
−4403 books	—	0/4
+1053 books	−1391 book	1/4
+3203 books	—	3/4
+8803 books	—	3/4
+18401 book	—	4/4

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings13 hr ago	+105	−139Best
Bally Bet13 hr ago	−125	—
Bovada13 hr ago	+108Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under: −122 → −139 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Aday Mara's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.