Ace Bailey
UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 18.5
69%11 of 16L20 · Without Jackson
Over 18.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 11 of 16 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)
Over 18.5 without him: 19 of 28; with him: 3 of 7 (35 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)
Over 18.5 without him: 27 of 42; with him: 9 of 38 (80 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 34 min · 2026–27: 30.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at NO
3rd straight road game
Splits
Over 18.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against DAL in his last 20; Over 18.5 cleared in 2 of 3 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 18.5 · L20Keyonte GeorgeG
Lauri MarkkanenF
Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut
Jusuf NurkicCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DAL
Pts+Reb: 26 in 37 min, Jan 17 (away)
Over 18.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against DAL on record
L20 · Without Jackson · Over 18.5
- Average
- 23.8
- +5.3 vs line
- Median
- 20.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 69%
- 11 of 16
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 32.5
- 16 games · 27.6 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 18.5 51%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Jackson| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −16401 book | — | 16/16 | |
| −3354 books | — | 14/16 | |
| −1202 books | −1152 books | 11/16 | |
| +1024 books | −1391 book | 10/16 | |
| +2804 books | — | 6/16 | |
| +8501 book | — | 4/16 | |
| +19601 book | — | 2/16 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 18.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 18.5 | Under 18.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings10 min ago | −115Best | −115 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −120 | −110Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
18.5Over: −122 → −120 since first seen


