Aaron Gordon
TOR @ DEN · Today 9:00 PMWhat's different today
Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Spencer Jones: Out (hamstring)
Over 19.5 without him: 8 of 16; with him: 17 of 29 (45 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 30.4 min · 2025–26: 28 (39 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs POR
Game lines
DEN −4.5 · total 230.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 236.2 on average (6 games)
Game log against Over 19.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 19.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).
Splits
Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TOR in his last 10; Over 19.5 cleared in 3 of 5 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 19.5 · L10Nikola JokicC
Jamal MurrayG
DeMar DeRozanG
Spencer JonesFOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Nuggets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs TOR
Pts+Reb: 21 in 29 min, Mar 20 (home)
Over 19.5 hit in 3 of 5 games against TOR on record
L10 · Over 19.5
- Average
- 16.3
- −3.2 vs line
- Median
- 13.5
- −6 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −103
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 29.2
- 10 games · 28 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 19.5 48%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3381 book | — | 5/10 | |
| −1601 book | +1201 book | 4/10 | |
| −1251 book | −1051 book | 4/10 | |
| −1033 books | −1283 books | 3/10 | |
| +2751 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +7301 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +16601 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 19.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 19.5 | Under 19.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 min ago | +100Best | −130 |
| DraftKings3 min ago | −103 | −128 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −112 | −118Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
19.5Over: −118 → −103 since first seen


