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Sam Surridge

Nashville SC · F · #9

CIN v NSH · Tomorrow 4:00 PM
Over only2.5
Over 2.5 Shots on Target, typical price +1751 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 2.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots on Target cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

  1. at TOR (MLS), 2026-09-09: 1, missed
  2. at MIA (MLS), 2026-09-12: 2, missed
  3. vs CHI (MLS), 2026-09-19: 2, missed
  4. vs TOR (MLS), 2026-09-26: 3, cleared
  5. at ATX (MLS), 2026-10-10: 1, missed
  6. vs SKC (MLS), 2026-10-14: 4, cleared
  7. at SJ (MLS), 2026-10-17: 0, missed
  8. at MTL (MLS), 2026-10-24: 3, cleared
  9. vs PHI (MLS), 2026-10-28: 1, missed
  10. vs RBNY (MLS), 2026-11-01: 4, cleared
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 line

L10 · Over 2.5

Average
2.1
−0.4 vs line
Median
2
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
36%
at +175
Books’ fair
—
no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
−9001 book9/10
−1801 book6/10
+1751 book4/10
+5001 book2/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5
FanDuel10 min ago+175Best

Prices as of 4:37 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

1.5 → 2.5 since first seen

Sam Surridge's full game log and splits