Sam Surridge

Nashville SC · F · #9

CIN v NSH · Sat, Nov 7 4:00 PM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Target, typical price −1044 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Target cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at TOR (MLS), 2026-09-09: 1, missed
at MIA (MLS), 2026-09-12: 2, cleared
vs CHI (MLS), 2026-09-19: 2, cleared
vs TOR (MLS), 2026-09-26: 3, cleared
at ATX (MLS), 2026-10-10: 1, missed
vs SKC (MLS), 2026-10-14: 4, cleared
at SJ (MLS), 2026-10-17: 0, missed
at MTL (MLS), 2026-10-24: 3, cleared
vs PHI (MLS), 2026-10-28: 1, missed
vs RBNY (MLS), 2026-11-01: 4, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 line

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −104
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−4804 books	9/10
	−1044 books	6/10
	+2604 books	4/10
	+5001 book	2/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
Bally Bet7 min ago	−104Best
betPARX7 min ago	−104Best
BetRivers7 min ago	−104Best
FanDuel7 min ago	−180

Prices as of 2:02 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

Sam Surridge's full game log and splits