Rafael Navarro

St. Louis CITY SC · F · #9

HOU v STL · Sat, Nov 7 7:00 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +1255 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at POR (MLS), 2026-09-09: 2, cleared
vs MIN (MLS), 2026-09-12: 2, cleared
vs TOR (MLS), 2026-09-19: 0, missed
at RBNY (MLS), 2026-09-30: 1, cleared
vs LA (MLS), 2026-10-11: 2, cleared
vs VAN (MLS), 2026-10-14: 0, missed
at MIN (MLS), 2026-10-17: 1, cleared
at RSL (MLS), 2026-10-24: 0, missed
vs POR (MLS), 2026-10-28: 1, cleared
vs SD (MLS), 2026-10-31: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 44%; at +125
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	+1255 books	6/10
	+6505 books	3/10
	+50002 books	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“to score”), with no Under to take.

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
Bovada8 min ago	+140Best
FanDuel9 min ago	+130
Bally Bet9 min ago	+125
betPARX9 min ago	+125
BetRivers9 min ago	+125

Prices as of 1:32 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

Rafael Navarro's full game log and splits