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Casper Tengstedt

Toulouse · F · #11

TOU v STR · Fri, Nov 6 2:45 PM
Over only4.5
Over 4.5 Shots, typical price +1252 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 4.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Shots cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).

  1. at NEC (Eredivisie), 2026-04-12: 0, missed
  2. at FOR (Eredivisie), 2026-05-03: 1, missed
  3. at PEC (Eredivisie), 2026-05-17: 6, cleared
  4. vs LILL (Ligue 1), 2026-09-03: 3, missed
  5. at LOR (Ligue 1), 2026-09-12: 2, missed
  6. vs HAC (Ligue 1), 2026-09-19: 5, cleared
  7. at MON (Ligue 1), 2026-10-10: 3, missed
  8. at MNS (Ligue 1), 2026-10-16: 6, cleared
  9. vs TRY (Ligue 1), 2026-10-25: 3, missed
  10. at OLM (Ligue 1), 2026-11-01: 2, missed
ClearedMissedThe 4.5 lineERE Eredivisie · unmarked: Ligue 1

L10 · Over 4.5

Average
3.1
−1.4 vs line
Median
3
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
44%
at +125
Books’ fair
—
no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
−15002 books8/10
−4252 books6/10
−1702 books3/10
+1252 books3/10
+2502 books2/10
+8001 book0/10
+17001 book0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“5+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 4.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5
DraftKings10 min ago+180Best
FanDuel10 min ago+125

Prices as of 6:17 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over: No move since first seen

Casper Tengstedt's full game log and splits