Federico Viñas

Toluca · F · #9

TOL v MTY · Sat, Nov 7 8:00 PM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Shots on Target, typical price +1454 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots on Target cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

at QRO (Liga MX), 2026-08-21: 2, cleared
vs JUA (Liga MX), 2026-08-30: 2, cleared
vs ATS (Liga MX), 2026-09-12: 1, missed
at PUE (Liga MX), 2026-09-15: 0, missed
vs SAN (Liga MX), 2026-09-20: 1, missed
at UANL (Liga MX), 2026-10-09: 2, cleared
vs ASL (Liga MX), 2026-10-17: 0, missed
vs TIJ (Liga MX), 2026-10-21: 3, cleared
at LEO (Liga MX), 2026-10-24: 1, missed
at AME (Liga MX), 2026-10-31: 1, missed

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 line

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 41%; at +145
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−2954 books	8/10
	+1454 books	4/10
	+2551 book	1/10
	+7001 book	0/10
	+20001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	+145Best
betPARX6 min ago	+145Best
BetRivers6 min ago	+145Best
DraftKings6 min ago	−125

Prices as of 11:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

Federico Viñas's full game log and splits