Rafael Bauza
ATH v ESP · Fri, Nov 20 3:00 PM
Over only0.5
Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +7501 sportsbookUpdated
Game log against Over 0.5
Historical hit rate
10%1 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 on the road).
Games counted
Game log L10@ VILGoals0Miss
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-05-10 – 2026-10-30
Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.
| Date | Opponent | Goals | Workload | At 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | @ VIL | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-10-27 | @ SES | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-09-15 | @ RAY | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-08-29 | @ RSO | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-08-22 | vs RMA | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-08-16 | vs LEV | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-05-31 | @ LEG | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-05-24 | vs GRA | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-05-16 | @ RSO2 | 1 | — | Hit |
| 2026-05-10 | vs EIB | 0 | — | Miss |
L10 · Over 0.5
Historical results
- Average
- 0.1
- −0.4 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Past hit rate
- 10%
- 1 of 10
Price and estimates
- Break-even chance
- 12%
- at +750
- Market estimate
- —
- no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
- Past hit rate
- How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
- Break-even chance
- The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
- Market estimate
- The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | L10 |
|---|---|---|
| +7501 book | 1/10 | |
| +125001 book | 0/10 | |
| +450001 book | 0/10 |
Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“to score”), with no Under to take.
Compare 1 sportsbook at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 |
|---|---|
| Bovada7 min ago | +750Best |
Prices as of 1:22 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
Line movementMain line 0.5
No opening line kept for this market yet.