Lucas Stassin

Sevilla · F · #19

SEV v ALA · Tomorrow 3:00 PM

Over only3.5

Over 3.5 Shots, typical price +1125 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Shots cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

at AVE (Ligue 2), 2026-05-02: 4, cleared
vs AMI (Ligue 2), 2026-05-09: 4, cleared
at SOC (Ligue 2), 2026-08-08: 0, missed
vs GRE (Ligue 2), 2026-08-22: 1, missed
at ESP (La Liga), 2026-09-06: 2, missed
vs VAL (La Liga), 2026-09-11: 1, missed
at DEP (La Liga), 2026-09-16: 4, cleared
at RMA (La Liga), 2026-10-18: 0, missed
vs OSA (La Liga), 2026-10-26: 1, missed
at GET (La Liga), 2026-11-01: 2, missed

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineL2 Ligue 2 · unmarked: La Liga

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 1.9; −1.6 vs line
Median: 1.5; −2 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 47%; at +112
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−40001 book	8/10
	−6005 books	5/10
	−1955 books	3/10
	+1125 books	3/10
	+2105 books	0/10
	+6502 books	0/10
	+19001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“4+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 3.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5
DraftKings7 min ago	+150Best
FanDuel7 min ago	+130
Bally Bet7 min ago	+112
betPARX7 min ago	+112
BetRivers7 min ago	+112

Prices as of 12:32 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: +150 → +112 since first seen

Lucas Stassin's full game log and splits