Nicolas Jackson

Aston Villa · F · #11

MAN v AVL · Sun, Nov 8 11:30 AM

Over 2.5 Shots, typical price −1253 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at BRU (Champions League), 2026-09-08: 3, cleared
vs NFO (Premier League), 2026-09-12: 0, missed
at TOT (Premier League), 2026-09-19: 6, cleared
vs BRE (Premier League), 2026-10-10: 4, cleared
vs FEN (Champions League), 2026-10-14: 5, cleared
at NEW (Premier League), 2026-10-17: 4, cleared
vs VFK (Champions League), 2026-10-21: 4, cleared
vs MNC (Premier League), 2026-10-24: 3, cleared
vs FUL (Premier League), 2026-10-31: 2, missed
at BAR (Champions League), 2026-11-03: 1, missed

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineUCL Champions League · unmarked: Premier League

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 3.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−20003 books	—	9/10
	−3703 books	—	8/10
	−1253 books	pick'em only	7/10
	+2053 books	—	5/10
	+4753 books	—	2/10
	+12003 books	—	1/10
	+28002 books	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel10 min ago	−120Best	—
Bovada9 min ago	−125	—
DraftKings10 min ago	−125	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:02 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: No move since first seen

Nicolas Jackson's full game log and splits