Joe Willock

Newcastle United · M · #28

FUL v NEW · Sat, Nov 7 10:00 AM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Shots, typical price −1051 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at FUL (Premier League), 2026-05-24: 2, cleared
vs LIV (Premier League), 2026-08-23: 1, missed
at TOT (Premier League), 2026-08-29: 3, cleared
vs BOU (Premier League), 2026-09-05: 2, cleared
at LEE (Premier League), 2026-09-14: 2, cleared
vs HUL (Premier League), 2026-09-19: 2, cleared
at COV (Premier League), 2026-10-12: 5, cleared
vs AVL (Premier League), 2026-10-17: 1, missed
at CRY (Premier League), 2026-10-25: 0, missed
vs EVE (Premier League), 2026-11-02: 2, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 line

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2; +0.5 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −105
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−4751 book	9/10
	−1051 book	7/10
	+3001 book	2/10
	+9001 book	1/10
	+25001 book	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
DraftKings8 min ago	−105Best

Prices as of 9:22 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: No move since first seen

Joe Willock's full game log and splits