Ryan Hedges

Derby County · M · #26

DER v BOL · Today 3:00 PM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Shots, typical price +1804 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Shots cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 at home).

at POR (Championship), 2026-09-01: 1, missed
at WHU (Championship), 2026-09-05: 0, missed
vs WBA (Championship), 2026-09-09: 1, missed
vs BIR (Championship), 2026-09-12: 0, missed
at BUR (Championship), 2026-09-19: 2, cleared
vs WXM (Championship), 2026-10-10: 0, missed
at QPR (Championship), 2026-10-14: 0, missed
vs STK (Championship), 2026-10-17: 0, missed
at SHU (Championship), 2026-10-24: 2, cleared
at MIL (Championship), 2026-10-31: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 line

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 0.6; −0.9 vs line
Median: 0; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 36%; at +180
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−2254 books	4/10
	+1804 books	2/10
	+1701 book	0/10
	+4501 book	0/10
	+12001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	+180Best
betPARX6 min ago	+180Best
BetRivers6 min ago	+180Best
DraftKings6 min ago	−175

Prices as of 5:13 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

2.5 → 1.5 since first seen

Ryan Hedges's full game log and splits