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Nicolas Madsen

Queens Park Rangers · M · #24

MIL v QPR · Sat, Nov 21 7:30 AM
Over only0.5
Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price +1752 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

Historical hit rate

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

Games counted

Game log L10vs DERShots on Target2Hit
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-05-02 – 2026-10-14

Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.

DateOpponentShots on TargetWorkloadAt 0.5
2026-10-14vs DER2—Hit
2026-10-09@ WHU1—Hit
2026-09-19vs PNE2—Hit
2026-09-12@ WBA0—Miss
2026-09-09@ CHA0—Miss
2026-09-05vs MID0—Miss
2026-09-02vs CAR0—Miss
2026-08-29@ BLK0—Miss
2026-08-22vs BOL0—Miss
2026-05-02@ IPS2—Hit

L10 · Over 0.5

Historical results

Average
0.7
+0.2 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Past hit rate
40%
4 of 10

Price and estimates

Break-even chance
36%
at +175
Market estimate
—
no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
Past hit rate
How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
Break-even chance
The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
Market estimate
The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
+1752 books4/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5
Bally Bet9 min ago+175Best
BetRivers9 min ago+175Best

Prices as of 1:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

Line movementMain line 0.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

Nicolas Madsen's full game log and splits