Josh Coburn
MIL v QPR · Sat, Nov 21 7:30 AM
Over only0.5
Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price −2252 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated
Game log against Over 0.5
Historical hit rate
50%5 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).
Games counted
Game log L10@ WBAShots on Target0Miss
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-04-21 – 2026-11-07
Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.
| Date | Opponent | Shots on Target | Workload | At 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | @ WBA | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-11-03 | @ BIR | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-09-02 | vs WXM | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-08-29 | @ SOU | 1 | — | Hit |
| 2026-08-22 | vs NOR | 1 | — | Hit |
| 2026-08-15 | @ BRC | 3 | — | Hit |
| 2026-05-11 | vs HUL | 1 | — | Hit |
| 2026-05-08 | @ HUL | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-04-24 | @ LEI | 0 | — | Miss |
| 2026-04-21 | @ STK | 1 | — | Hit |
L10 · Over 0.5
Historical results
- Average
- 0.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Past hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
Price and estimates
- Break-even chance
- 69%
- at −225
- Market estimate
- —
- no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
- Past hit rate
- How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
- Break-even chance
- The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
- Market estimate
- The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | L10 |
|---|---|---|
| −2252 books | 5/10 |
Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.
Compare 2 sportsbooks at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 |
|---|---|
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −225Best |
| BetRivers6 min ago | −225Best |
Prices as of 12:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
Line movementMain line 0.5
No opening line kept for this market yet.