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Josh Coburn

Millwall · F · #19

MIL v QPR · Sat, Nov 21 7:30 AM
Over only0.5
Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +1802 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

Historical hit rate

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 3 at home).

Games counted

Game log L10@ WBAGoals0Miss
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-04-21 – 2026-11-07

Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.

DateOpponentGoalsWorkloadAt 0.5
2026-11-07@ WBA0—Miss
2026-11-03@ BIR0—Miss
2026-09-02vs WXM0—Miss
2026-08-29@ SOU0—Miss
2026-08-22vs NOR0—Miss
2026-08-15@ BRC2—Hit
2026-05-11vs HUL0—Miss
2026-05-08@ HUL0—Miss
2026-04-24@ LEI0—Miss
2026-04-21@ STK1—Hit

L10 · Over 0.5

Historical results

Average
0.3
−0.2 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Past hit rate
20%
2 of 10

Price and estimates

Break-even chance
36%
at +180
Market estimate
—
no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
Past hit rate
How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
Break-even chance
The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
Market estimate
The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
+1802 books2/10
+10502 books1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“to score”), with no Under to take.

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5
Bally Bet6 min ago+180Best
BetRivers6 min ago+180Best

Prices as of 12:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

Line movementMain line 0.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

Josh Coburn's full game log and splits