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Finn Azaz

Southampton · M · #10

SOU v DER · Sat, Nov 21 7:30 AM
Over only0.5
Over 0.5 Goals, typical price +1453 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

Historical hit rate

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Goals cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

Games counted

Game log L10@ PNEGoals0Miss
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line
Game-by-game results 10 games · 2026-09-08 – 2026-11-07

Past results describe this sample; they are not a forecast.

DateOpponentGoalsWorkloadAt 0.5
2026-11-07@ PNE0—Miss
2026-11-03@ WBA0—Miss
2026-10-31vs QPR0—Miss
2026-10-24@ WHU0—Miss
2026-10-17vs BOL0—Miss
2026-10-14@ NOR0—Miss
2026-10-11vs POR0—Miss
2026-09-19@ WXM0—Miss
2026-09-12vs BRC1—Hit
2026-09-08vs SWA1—Hit

L10 · Over 0.5

Historical results

Average
0.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Past hit rate
20%
2 of 10

Price and estimates

Break-even chance
41%
at +145
Market estimate
—
no Under posted
What do these numbers mean?
Past hit rate
How often this line cleared in the games you selected. It describes those games, not the chance of the next one.
Break-even chance
The chance needed to break even at the displayed price over time.
Market estimate
The sportsbooks' estimated chance with their margin removed. It needs prices on both sides.

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
LineOverL10
+1453 books2/10
+7502 books0/10
+34002 books0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“to score”), with no Under to take.

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Goals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5
Bovada5 min ago+210Best
Bally Bet6 min ago+145
BetRivers6 min ago+145

Prices as of 12:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

Line movementMain line 0.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

Finn Azaz's full game log and splits