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Mekhi Nelson

Nebraska Cornhuskers · RB · #35

NEB @ ILL · Fri, Nov 6 8:00 PM

College box scores skip games where a player recorded no stats, so these hit rates can run high on Overs.

OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +1151 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 0.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).

  1. vs IOWA, 2025-11-28: 0, missed
  2. at UTAH, 2025-12-31: 1, cleared
  3. vs OHIO, 2026-09-05: 2, cleared
  4. vs BGSU, 2026-09-12: 0, missed
  5. vs , 2026-09-19: 0, missed
  6. at MSU, 2026-09-26: 1, cleared
  7. vs MD, 2026-10-03: 2, cleared
  8. vs IU, 2026-10-10: 0, missed
  9. at ORE, 2026-10-17: 0, missed
  10. vs WASH, 2026-10-31: 0, missed
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line

Count only

Over 0.5 · L10

Rest

5 days off since Oct 31 vs WASH

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.6
+0.1 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
47%
at +115
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+1151 bookpick'em only4/10
+8001 book—2/10
+40001 book—0/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bovada7 min ago+115Best—
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 1:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen

Mekhi Nelson's full game log and splits