Sven Michel

SC Paderborn 07 · F · #11

SCP v SGE · Sat, Nov 7 9:30 AM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price −2004 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).

at BOC (2. Bundesliga), 2026-02-15: 2, cleared
vs EBS (2. Bundesliga), 2026-03-07: 3, cleared
vs SGD (2. Bundesliga), 2026-03-21: 0, missed
vs FCM (2. Bundesliga), 2026-04-12: 0, missed
at H96 (2. Bundesliga), 2026-04-18: 1, cleared
vs S04 (2. Bundesliga), 2026-04-26: 0, missed
at ELV (2. Bundesliga), 2026-05-03: 0, missed
vs KSC (2. Bundesliga), 2026-05-08: 1, cleared
at SVD (2. Bundesliga), 2026-05-17: 1, cleared
vs HSV (Bundesliga), 2026-10-24: 0, missed

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineBL2 2. Bundesliga · unmarked: Bundesliga

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −200
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−2004 books	5/10
	+2104 books	2/10
	+10001 book	1/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
DraftKings8 min ago	−180Best
Bally Bet8 min ago	−200
betPARX8 min ago	−200
BetRivers8 min ago	−200

Prices as of 12:57 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

Sven Michel's full game log and splits