Michael Gregoritsch

FC Augsburg · F · #11

RBL v FCA · Tomorrow 9:30 AM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Shots on Target, typical price −1754 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Shots on Target cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs BMG (Bundesliga), 2026-05-09: 3, cleared
at FCU (Bundesliga), 2026-05-16: 0, missed
vs S04 (Bundesliga), 2026-08-30: 3, cleared
at SGE (Bundesliga), 2026-09-06: 1, cleared
vs B04 (Bundesliga), 2026-09-12: 3, cleared
at SVW (Bundesliga), 2026-09-19: 1, cleared
vs MUN (Bundesliga), 2026-10-10: 0, missed
at ELV (Bundesliga), 2026-10-17: 2, cleared
vs FCU (Bundesliga), 2026-10-24: 2, cleared
vs SCF (Bundesliga), 2026-10-31: 3, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 line

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 2; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −175
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−1754 books	8/10
	+2504 books	6/10
	+7001 book	4/10
	+25001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ shots on target”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Shots on Target, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
Bally Bet12 min ago	−175Best
betPARX12 min ago	−175Best
BetRivers12 min ago	−175Best
DraftKings12 min ago	−230

Prices as of 1:05 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−177 → −175 since first seen

Michael Gregoritsch's full game log and splits