Christoph Baumgartner

RB Leipzig · M · #14

RBL v FCA · Tomorrow 9:30 AM

Over only2.5

Over 2.5 Shots, typical price −1594 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Shots cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs BMG (Bundesliga), 2026-04-11: 4, cleared
at SGE (Bundesliga), 2026-04-18: 2, missed
vs FCU (Bundesliga), 2026-04-24: 5, cleared
at B04 (Bundesliga), 2026-05-02: 2, missed
vs STP (Bundesliga), 2026-05-09: 4, cleared
at SCF (Bundesliga), 2026-05-16: 2, missed
at RMA (Champions League), 2026-10-21: 0, missed
vs ELV (Bundesliga), 2026-10-24: 2, missed
at S04 (Bundesliga), 2026-10-31: 0, missed
vs MNC (Champions League), 2026-11-04: 3, cleared

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineUCL Champions League · unmarked: Bundesliga

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −159
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−4804 books	8/10
	−1594 books	4/10
	+1351 book	3/10
	+3101 book	1/10
	+7001 book	0/10
	+16001 book	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“3+ shots”), with no Under to take.

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 2.5 Shots, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−159Best
betPARX5 min ago	−159Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−159Best
DraftKings5 min ago	−180

Prices as of 12:50 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

3.5 → 2.5 since first seen

Christoph Baumgartner's full game log and splits